Exploring the impact of broadband and technology on our lives, our businesses, and our communities.
The Open Voting Foundation has found yet more flaws in Diebold voting machines. A single switch on the motherboard allows someone to boot the machine from external memory. This would allow someone to change the way the machine counts votes. The machine can then be flipped back to the original memory, and no one would know the machine had been tampered with.
The flaw does require physical access to the machine, but many people have access to voting machine both before and after voting occurs. The Diebold machines do not provide an auditable paper trail of actual votes, which would allow an accurate after vote audit.
The tragedy here is that public officials have spent hundreds of millions of dollars of taxpayer money on defective machines that have to be replaced in order to be certain that our votes are being tallied properly.
The City of Boston has decided to develop an open access wireless network for the city. This project might actually succeed where many other communitywide wireless projects have struggled. Boston has decided to do some things differently.
The choice of an Open Access Network (OAN) or Open Service Provider Network (OSPN) (two terms that mean the same thing) means that local government officials are not going to try to guess winners and losers in the Internet services marketplace. A fundamental weakness of giving the keys of a communitywide broadband system to a single company means that a handful of local government officials have to be very smart, indeed, to project (typically) eight or ten years into the future and be sure that just one or two private firms will market, sell, and manage services over the community network perfectly.
I am not that smart. I would much rather build a digital road system and let any qualified firm sell services, at whatever prices they choose, and let buyers in the marketplace decide who has the best prices and services. That way, local or regional governments don't have to have the responsibility of picking winners and losers.
An Open Service Provider Network also lets local and regional governments neatly sidestep the thorny issue of creating a de facto public monopoly for services. By using public money to build a network and then selecting just a handful of service providers, there is created a potentially difficult legal challenge from other service providers who want to offer services in the community but have not been "blessed" by local government. An OSPN network lets any qualified provider come in and sell on an equal footing, and takes the government competition issue off the table.
An OSPN system encourages competition, which leads to lower prices for telecom services. When government picks the service providers, competition is diminished, and everyone, even local government, ends up paying more for services.
Finally, when managed correctly, an OSPN network encourages innovation by lowering the barriers for entry into a new marketplace. The current bandwidth model we use everywhere now discourages rolling out new and experimental services by creating up front (and often very expensive) fixed bandwidth charges before even a single customer is subscribed to the service. A correctly designed OSPN system should price the cost of transport based on the services offered along with other factors like time of day, Quality of Service needed, and yes, bandwidth. But transport charges in an OSPN network should be tied to revenue, which encourages innovation. If a service provider has few customers, network use fees are low. If the service is popular, network use fees go up in proportion to revenue. This also means that the network operator has income proportional to network use, unlike the bandwidth model which punishes network use.
Boston is to be commended for this approach, although I still remain skeptical of communitywide wireless. So far, use of these systems has been light for a variety of technology and economic reasons, but that is the subject of another article.
It is official. YouTube has overtaken MySpace as the world's biggest time waster. MySpace is primarily a playground for high school and college kids who place a high value on knowing too much about people they might meet before they actually meet them. YouTube, on the other hand, is an equal opportunity time waster, with something to offer everyone.
It is almost always a mistake to click on a YouTube link, because not only will you end up wasting several minutes watching someone do something incredibly stupid on video, you will probably also click on and watch several other really dumb videos and watch them too. And finally, you will complete your, uh, "Internet research" and get back to work reading Dilbert online.
America's Funniest Home Videos and many of those other "send us your dumbest moments" TV shows may be endangered species, since now you don't have to wait months to see if that video clip of Aunt Mildred knocking over the Christmas tree made it onto the show. With just a few mouse clicks, you can put Aunt Mildred out there, sit back, and see if you have an Internet hit.
What is interesting about YouTube is the ad potential. With the number of people wasting time on YouTube, ad rates for the site will not be an obstacle to companies who want to get their message in front of a lot of people. And YouTube may have a built in advantage over search engine ads. Search engines are a way for people to go somewhere else, so the amount of time people want to spend on a search results page is very limited. But with video sites like YouTube, the site is a destination, not a way point. Of course, Google has Google TV.
Long term, I am skeptical about these sites. The numbers are high right now because of the "newbie" effect we have observed since 1993. Many new Internet services are extremely popular at the beginning primarily because they are new, not because they offer some lasting or important value. Online video is here to stay, but if the YouTube founders are smart, they will sell while the perceived value is high--remember AOLTimeWarner? TimeWarner's content was supposed to push AOL into a "must have" service category. Instead, the merged company lost billions.
The FBI continues to lobby to try to force ISPs to snoop for the government. This is something the federal agency has been asking for for years, and has tried to get Congress and the FCC to go along with the plan.
What the FBI wants is for every ISP to provide private access to an ISPs entire network so that the FBI can just log in and snoop at its convenience. In theory, court orders would be required, just like wiretaps, but to have private backdoors is to invite abuse.
And if the FBI really believes they need access to the network of an ISP, they can get a court order today and go to the ISP and get whatever records they need. So it is not like they need the new regulations to get something they don't have. Even in a time of war, the FBI is asking for too much power.
Prepare to be depressed. French Telecom has just announced that it is rolling out fiber service in major cities with download speeds of 2.5 Gigabits/second and upload speeds of 1.2 Gigabits/second. The cost? Seventy Euros, or about $85 US.
Meanwhile, in the U.S., the heads of the major telecoms are patting us on the head and telling us we don't need superhighways to our homes, that DSL sidwalks are just fine. A typical DSL connection in the U.S. is about two thousand times slower than the Gigabit service being rolled out in France.
This article is in French, but you can see the speeds discussed in the second paragraph.
Many a science fiction novel has included a device that can spit out any kind of product automagically simply by feeding in design specs for it. Neal Stephenson's Diamond Age is just one example with that kind of technology. But in this case, gee whiz scifi ideas are fast becoming ho-hum reality. Lockheed's Skunkworks airplane design facility has printed out an entire four ton airplane using 3D printing technology, which until recently has been used largely for models and short run fabrication of small parts. Most of the parts in the plane were fabricated using the 3D printing system and then assembled.
Economic developers: When was the last time you held a seminar for local businesses on this technology and its uses? What local businesses could benefit from this technology to improve its products or lower costs?
We know exactly what will happen if the big telecom companies succeed in convincing Congress to let them partition the Internet. We have a perfectly good example of the mess we will be in, and it is called the cellphone industry. Read this article [link no longer available] to see how innovation is choked off, small businesses are forced out of the market place, and how consumers end up paying more, much more, for mediocre services.
Right now, anyone with a good idea can start an Internet-based business and know that the service will be available to anyone with an Internet connection. What the telecom companies want is a "two tier" system, but in reality there will be many tiers, and companies that want to sell a service over a Verizon network, as an example, will likely have to pay high up front fees and high monthly fees, before any revenue comes back to the new enterprise. This means most new business ideas will never launch, because the start up costs will be too high, and the next Google or eBay will never have a chance. Let's hope Congress comes to its senses before it is too late.
A three year old Philadelphia project to turn waste into gas, oil, and minerals has been so successful that the EPA and private investors are putting money behind expansion of the effort. One of the new sites will be in Missouri, near a turkey processing plant. The energy recycling plant will turn 200 tons of turkey guts into 10 tons of gas and 600 barrels of oil. The gas is used to power the plant, which is 85% efficient.
This looks like a free lunch because you get three for one; you reduce the amount of waste going into landfills, you get local production of energy products, and you reduce reliance on foreign oil.
The system uses exactly the same processes the earth uses to turn organic matter into oil, but while that takes millions of years for the earth to do it, using heat and pressure in the right amounts lets the energy plant accomplish the same thing in a few hours. The system is owned by Changing World Technologies, and while this has been tried before, the company developed a new approach that makes it much more efficient in terms of the amount of energy required for the conversion process.
This is just one more examply why the notion of running out oil--as a crisis--is looking at things from the wrong end of the telescope--it is an opportunity. How about your region? Do you have companies with significant waste streams of organic matter? Why not compete directly with the Middle East and become an oil and gas producer? It will reduce the strain on your landfill, create jobs, generate taxes, and diversify your local economy.
If you want a perfect example of what is driving the likes of Verizon and Comcast crazy, take a look at CNet TV, which is currently in beta. CNet has a huge collection of video material that has been available on some cable systems for a long time, and they are now putting all this on the Web.
Whoever designed the CNet TV site has done a pretty nice job, stealing liberally from both iTunes and iPod software design. Overall, the effort is nicely done, and provides a good glimpse of the future of television. These sorts of Web-based TV efforts must leave broadcast and cable operators bawling in a corner for Mommy. CNet TV makes 20th century cable and TV technology look, well, so 20th century.
Video quality is adequate, which means you can watch it comfortably in a medium-sized window, but there is noticeable pixellation, like virtually all similar Web TV systems. Quality is better than most You Tube videos.
As I watched the introduction, I had to chuckle when the CNet spokeswoman encouraged me to "enjoy hours of video." Uh huh. This is the weak point in all these schemes. Hardly any of us has "hours" to sit around watching fuzzy video on fairly arcane and/or obscure topics. The fact that college kids (who do have hours to sit around watching, um, "hours of video") drives up the traffic at these sites does not mean the general population does.
If had two free hours, I'd much rather download Pirates of the Caribbean and watch it than two hours of geeks talking about the differences between the Red Hat and Ubuntu versions of Linux. I have said it before, and I'll say it again: both podcasts and videocasts take time, and that is what we have the least of these days. I can scan a Web page of text and images quickly and determine its value, but I can't scan a thirty minute video on a tech topic of interest and figure out if I should watch it or not.
Make no mistake: video and audio content is driving the whole Internet, and the telecom and cable companies are terrified of losing control over content; hence, we have their feeble argument that tollgates are the only way to go. They are the only way to go if all we want is to cement their current duopoly in perpetuity. CNet TV is a great example of the kind of rich, and yes, often useful, content that will be commonplace.
This article is a great summary of some of the new "Search 2.0" search engines that represent third generation technologies. The first generation of search engines were those that simply indexed the content of Web pages, with the venerable Alta Vista as the best example. Google defined second generation search technology, which looked at links to and from a Web page as a way of determining relevance.
Third generation search engines go well beyond the aging Google model, using intelligent clustering of results, natural language processing, and more human input to improve search results. Clusty is one of my favorites, which tries to cluster results into categories. This is especially helpful when a search query tends to include results from more than one topic area, which happens a lot. When you get search results back, you can quickly pick the appropriate cluster and whack out a lot of dreck. For example, if you put in the word 'record,' which can have different meanings in different contexts, Clusty returns 199 clusters, with the top ten results sets on the first page. It is pretty likely one of those sets is the correct one.
Another interesting one is Lexxe, which says it uses natural language processing to improve query results. It seems to work. The same two word query that Google coughed up 68,000 results for returned just 100 results in Lexxe.
One might reasonably ask why Google has not bothered to improve its search engine. Currently, the company probably thinks it does not have to--its quarterly earnings shot up again. But the Internet can turn on a dime, and I continue to believe that Google could fall, and fall quickly. In the meantime, try some of these new search engines; they save time and produce better results.